Cagliari vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
UDI
4 - 1
CAG
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
CAG
0 - 1
NAP
25%
26%
49%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
INT
2 - 2
CAG
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CAG
0 - 0
CAT
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FIO
4 - 1
CAG
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
NAP
5 - 1
PES
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PES
0 - 1
ROM
21%
22%
57%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
SIE
1 - 0
PES
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
PES
1 - 6
JUV
17%
25%
58%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PES
2 - 0
PAR
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |