Cagliari vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
CAG
44%
29%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 3
CAG
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAG
0 - 3
NAP
21%
25%
54%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 0
CAG
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CAG
1 - 3
LAZ
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
LAZ
4 - 0
PAR
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
PAL
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
EMP
2 - 2
PAR
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 0
PAR
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
JUV
18%
25%
57%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |