Cagliari vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
PES
0 - 0
CAG
55%
27%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
CAG
1 - 0
UDI
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAG
41%
32%
27%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
CAG
2 - 2
PAL
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 1
CAG
45%
31%
24%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1979 |
NOC
2 - 1
CES
37%
29%
34%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
USF
3 - 0
NOC
65%
22%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
NOC
1 - 1
TER
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
NOC
1 - 0
GEN
35%
30%
35%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
PES
2 - 1
NOC
68%
21%
12%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |