Cagliari vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
SAS
6 - 2
CAG
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAG
3 - 2
EMP
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
NAP
3 - 1
CAG
85%
11%
4%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CAG
1 - 0
PES
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
UDI
2 - 1
CAG
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ACM
3 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
8%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACM
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ACM
1 - 4
ROM
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
CRO
1 - 1
ACM
17%
23%
60%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ACM
1 - 2
EMP
75%
17%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |