Cagliari vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
TER
0 - 2
CAG
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
CAG
1 - 0
AVE
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
RIM
3 - 1
CAG
42%
29%
30%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
CAG
2 - 4
BRE
70%
20%
10%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
USC
1 - 0
CAG
37%
31%
31%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
PIS
0 - 0
LEC
45%
28%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
LEC
0 - 0
TAR
53%
28%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
USC
1 - 1
LEC
38%
30%
32%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASS
51%
27%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEC
39%
29%
31%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |