Cagliari vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ANC
0 - 1
CAG
44%
25%
30%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CAG
2 - 2
SAL
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
TER
0 - 0
CAG
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
CAG
1 - 0
CTT
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
REG
0 - 0
CAG
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
COM
2 - 0
BAR
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
PAL
0 - 0
COM
33%
29%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
COM
2 - 2
PIS
61%
24%
15%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2002 |
VIC
1 - 2
COM
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
MES
1 - 1
COM
35%
29%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |