Cagliari vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 2
CAG
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
CAG
0 - 1
TOR
33%
26%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CAG
0 - 1
ATL
12%
18%
70%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAG
78%
15%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAG
1 - 1
SAS
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 0
LAZ
23%
23%
54%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SAS
1 - 1
BOL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 1
BEN
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 3
BOL
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 2
ACM
18%
23%
59%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |