Cagliari vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
UDI
2 - 0
CAG
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
CAG
1 - 0
GEN
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LAZ
3 - 1
CAG
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAG
0 - 1
NAP
16%
21%
64%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAG
2 - 2
ROM
20%
22%
58%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
SAS
2 - 6
ATL
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 2
JUV
21%
24%
55%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
GEN
3 - 1
ATL
28%
24%
47%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 0
LAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
UDI
1 - 3
ATL
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | +1 |