Cagliari vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
CAG
2 - 1
VIC
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
BRE
3 - 1
CAG
45%
30%
25%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
CAG
3 - 0
SAM
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
USF
0 - 2
CAG
51%
28%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
VAR
0 - 2
CAG
38%
32%
30%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
TAR
1 - 0
CES
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
CES
1 - 3
NAP
30%
30%
40%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
BAR
1 - 1
CES
45%
30%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
CES
0 - 0
SSS
55%
28%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 0
CES
46%
30%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |