Cafetaleros vs Zacatepec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 2
CAF
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
CAF
1 - 0
CIM
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CAF
4 - 1
UAT
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 0
CAF
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CIM
2 - 1
CAF
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Zacatepec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
CAÑ
1 - 0
DOR
39%
24%
38%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
AUR
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
CAÑ
0 - 4
QRO
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
ATL
3 - 2
CAÑ
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MER
0 - 2
CAÑ
34%
27%
40%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |