Cafetaleros vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UDG
3 - 1
CAF
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
DOR
2 - 0
CAF
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAF
1 - 0
ZAC
37%
27%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 3
CAF
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAF
5 - 1
MER
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 1
ZAC
25%
26%
50%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 1
MUR
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 1
MER
46%
26%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 1
MUR
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 2
CAÑ
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |