Caersws vs Penycae FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MOL
7 - 1
CAE
13%
18%
69%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CAE
0 - 2
FLI
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
LLA
2 - 6
CAE
12%
18%
70%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CAE
2 - 2
GUI
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LLA
4 - 3
CAE
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Penycae FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PEN
5 - 2
DEN
52%
22%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
LLA
5 - 1
PEN
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
FLI
0 - 3
PEN
53%
22%
26%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
RHA
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
CON
1 - 2
PEN
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +2 |