Caersws vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
CAE
3 - 0
LID
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
CAR
3 - 2
CAE
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 0
HAV
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
CAE
3 - 3
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1999 |
CWM
1 - 1
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
BAR
7 - 0
CEF
76%
16%
9%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
CWM
1 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
BAR
5 - 2
BAN
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
RHA
0 - 0
BAR
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
ABE
3 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |