Caernarfon Town FC vs Rhyl FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
GRA
4 - 1
CAE
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
CAE
1 - 1
CEF
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ABE
1 - 1
CAE
58%
24%
18%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 1
AIR
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2005 |
CAE
4 - 2
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rhyl FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
RHY
3 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
HAV
2 - 2
RHY
46%
25%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
AIR
3 - 2
RHY
22%
21%
57%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
POR
2 - 1
RHY
25%
25%
51%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
CEF
1 - 1
RHY
19%
23%
58%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |