Caernarfon Town FC vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 4
PRE
75%
15%
10%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
ABE
2 - 3
CAE
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CAE
3 - 2
PEN
79%
14%
8%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
AIR
2 - 3
CAE
38%
25%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 1
PEN
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
CON
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 0
BAL
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
TNS
2 - 1
NEW
80%
13%
7%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |