Caernarfon Town FC vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
DEN
0 - 4
CAE
10%
14%
76%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
CAE
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 2
NEW
49%
24%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TNS
5 - 3
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 0
HAV
69%
18%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 0
HOL
65%
19%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
5 - 0
CEF
80%
14%
7%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 4
BAR
21%
25%
54%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FLI
4 - 0
CEF
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 2
CON
12%
21%
67%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |