Caernarfon Town FC vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
TNS
4 - 1
CAE
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CAE
3 - 2
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 2
CAE
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
FLI
0 - 2
CAE
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CAE
2 - 2
ABE
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
BAR
29%
29%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
6 - 2
BAL
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
BAR
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
ABE
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
PEN
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |