Caerau Ely vs Pontardawe Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
19%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerau Ely
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
GOY
6 - 2
CAE
38%
24%
39%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
3 - 2
LID
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
AAF
1 - 1
CAE
51%
23%
27%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 2
CAE
37%
22%
41%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 2
CAE
60%
21%
20%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Pontardawe Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PON
1 - 1
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
PON
3 - 3
CWM
29%
21%
50%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LLA
5 - 0
PON
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 0
PON
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PON
0 - 1
TRE
51%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |