Caen vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
TFC
3 - 3
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 2
MET
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
ASS
3 - 0
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
CAE
2 - 2
SOC
35%
26%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 2
MAR
29%
28%
44%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
TFC
3 - 3
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
TFC
1 - 1
LEN
38%
29%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
TFC
0 - 0
CSK
54%
25%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 2
TFC
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
TFC
2 - 0
AUX
37%
27%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |