Caen vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
MPL
1 - 2
CAE
28%
26%
47%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 1
GUI
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
TOU
2 - 3
CAE
19%
24%
57%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
CAE
4 - 0
NIO
61%
23%
16%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2007 |
MET
2 - 0
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2007 |
STR
0 - 0
AJA
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
LHA
0 - 1
STR
34%
28%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2007 |
STR
1 - 0
LUS
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 1
STR
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2007 |
STR
2 - 1
TOU
72%
19%
9%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |