Caen vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 0
CAE
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 0
LEN
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
AUX
1 - 0
CAE
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
CAE
1 - 0
MON
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
PSG
2 - 2
CAE
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
STR
2 - 2
LEN
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
MON
3 - 1
STR
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
STR
1 - 1
IST
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
ASS
1 - 1
STR
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
STR
1 - 4
TFC
56%
25%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |