Caen vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MPL
1 - 2
CAE
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 3
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ANG
2 - 0
CAE
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CAE
0 - 0
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAE
0 - 3
PSG
13%
21%
65%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 1
LOR
46%
25%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 1
ANG
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 1
NIC
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2016 |
NIC
2 - 2
REN
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 0
MPL
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |