Caen vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2001 |
AJA
1 - 0
CAE
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
ASB
0 - 1
CAE
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
CAE
2 - 2
NÎM
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2001 |
NIC
2 - 0
CAE
38%
29%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 0
LUS
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2001 |
NIO
1 - 1
ASB
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2001 |
NÎM
2 - 1
NIO
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
NIO
2 - 2
NIC
66%
20%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
NIO
3 - 2
ASS
32%
25%
44%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
LUS
1 - 1
NIO
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |