Caen vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
LHA
2 - 0
CAE
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 0
MPL
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
FCG
2 - 2
CAE
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
CAE
1 - 0
STR
42%
28%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
CLE
0 - 3
CAE
21%
26%
53%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCG
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
DIJ
0 - 2
BAS
36%
29%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 0
GRE
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2005 |
IST
1 - 0
BAS
32%
30%
39%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 1
LOR
62%
22%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |