Ligue 1 Round 34

Caen vs Bastia analysis

Caen Bastia
79 ELO 81
-8.3% Tilt -0.5%
1116º General ELO ranking 571º
42º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
47.1%
Caen
26.7%
Draw
26.2%
Bastia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
Caen
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.2%
Win probability
Bastia
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caen
-14%
+3%
Bastia

ELO progression

Caen
Bastia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caen
Caen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2005
NIC
Nice
0 - 1
Caen
CAE
48%
26%
26%
78 82 4 0
09 Apr. 2005
CAE
Caen
0 - 1
Metz
MET
46%
27%
27%
79 81 2 -1
02 Apr. 2005
SOC
Sochaux
1 - 0
Caen
CAE
64%
21%
16%
79 87 8 0
19 Mar. 2005
CAE
Caen
2 - 2
Stade Rennais
REN
34%
28%
38%
79 85 6 0
12 Mar. 2005
NAN
Nantes
2 - 0
Caen
CAE
55%
24%
21%
79 85 6 0

Matches

Bastia
Bastia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2005
BAS
Bastia
2 - 1
Toulouse
TFC
47%
28%
25%
80 82 2 0
09 Apr. 2005
ASS
Saint-Étienne
3 - 0
Bastia
BAS
49%
27%
24%
80 82 2 0
02 Apr. 2005
REN
Stade Rennais
1 - 0
Bastia
BAS
65%
21%
15%
81 85 4 -1
19 Mar. 2005
BAS
Bastia
1 - 0
Metz
MET
46%
27%
27%
80 81 1 +1
12 Mar. 2005
SOC
Sochaux
1 - 0
Bastia
BAS
65%
21%
14%
80 87 7 0