Caen vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
REN
2 - 0
CAE
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
STR
5 - 0
CAE
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
CAE
3 - 1
MON
21%
28%
52%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 0
LIL
30%
29%
40%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
LEN
0 - 1
CAE
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
NÎM
1 - 1
AJA
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
IST
52%
27%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 0
TFC
37%
29%
34%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
REN
2 - 0
AJA
66%
20%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 0
BAS
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |