French League U19 Round 18

Caen U19 vs Valenciennes U19 analysis

Caen U19 Valenciennes U19
39 ELO 35
22.1% Tilt 2.2%
6261º General ELO ranking 7847º
168º Country ELO ranking 259º
ELO win probability
60.5%
Caen U19
19.5%
Draw
20%
Valenciennes U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
Caen U19
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20%
Win probability
Valenciennes U19
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Caen U19
+37%
+52%
Valenciennes U19

ELO progression

Caen U19
Valenciennes U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Caen U19
Caen U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Jan. 2016
CAE
Caen U19
6 - 1
Gonfreville U19
GON
92%
6%
2%
38 13 25 0
17 Jan. 2016
ORL
Orléans U19
0 - 2
Caen U19
CAE
27%
22%
51%
37 29 8 +1
13 Dec. 2015
CAE
Caen U19
1 - 1
PSG U19
PSG
27%
23%
51%
37 48 11 0
06 Dec. 2015
ARR
Arras U19
1 - 5
Caen U19
CAE
19%
20%
62%
36 21 15 +1
29 Nov. 2015
CAE
Caen U19
3 - 2
Amiens SC U19
AMI
47%
23%
31%
35 39 4 +1

Matches

Valenciennes U19
Valenciennes U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Jan. 2016
VAL
Valenciennes U19
2 - 2
Le Havre U19
HAV
42%
23%
34%
36 38 2 0
17 Jan. 2016
GON
Gonfreville U19
0 - 5
Valenciennes U19
VAL
9%
15%
77%
36 14 22 0
13 Dec. 2015
VAL
Valenciennes U19
1 - 1
FC Rouen 1899 U19
ROU
77%
14%
9%
36 25 11 0
06 Dec. 2015
ORL
Orléans U19
0 - 0
Valenciennes U19
VAL
19%
20%
61%
36 25 11 0
29 Nov. 2015
VAL
Valenciennes U19
2 - 2
PSG U19
PSG
23%
23%
54%
36 46 10 0