Caen PTT vs Oissel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
3º
13º
8º
28
2º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 39 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 36 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
10º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 29 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
41.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 23 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 41.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
VHO
2 - 2
CAE
31%
21%
48%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 0
LEH
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAE
0 - 0
LMU
48%
22%
30%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FLE
3 - 3
CAE
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
QUE
1 - 1
CAE
42%
22%
37%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Oissel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
OIS
1 - 1
SAI
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DIV
2 - 1
OIS
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
OIS
0 - 1
CAE
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 2
OIS
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
OIS
1 - 2
CHA
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |