Caen II vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
AVO
2 - 4
CAE
53%
23%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
QUE
1 - 2
CAE
47%
21%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAE
2 - 2
EVR
67%
18%
15%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAE
3 - 1
DRO
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAE
3 - 1
BLO
49%
23%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
DRO
2 - 1
BOU
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
BOU
3 - 0
UJA
49%
25%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BOU
0 - 0
BLO
48%
25%
28%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
TOU
2 - 0
BOU
61%
21%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BOU
2 - 4
OIS
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |