Cádiz vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
PUE
0 - 2
CAD
21%
27%
53%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
CAD
5 - 2
AGD
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CDL
1 - 3
CAD
23%
27%
51%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
CAD
3 - 0
MEL
71%
20%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
SFE
3 - 4
CAD
12%
23%
65%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
LUC
1 - 2
BET
38%
28%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ANT
0 - 2
LUC
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 0
GRA
34%
29%
38%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
LUC
2 - 0
ECI
28%
28%
45%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
PUE
4 - 0
LUC
53%
26%
22%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |