AFCON Qualifying Group Stages Round 2

Cape Verde vs Zambia analysis

Cape Verde Zambia
71 ELO 77
-4% Tilt -13.5%
1481º General ELO ranking 1415º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
34.1%
Cape Verde
26.2%
Draw
39.8%
Zambia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
Cape Verde
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.8%
Win probability
Zambia
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Cape Verde
Zambia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cape Verde
Cape Verde
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2014
NIG
Niger
1 - 3
Cape Verde
CPV
28%
27%
45%
70 60 10 0
05 Mar. 2014
LUX
Luxembourg
0 - 0
Cape Verde
CPV
14%
23%
63%
70 42 28 0
07 Sep. 2013
TUN
Tunisia
3 - 0
Cape Verde
CPV
71%
19%
10%
71 84 13 -1
15 Jun. 2013
CPV
Cape Verde
1 - 0
Sierra Leone
SLE
50%
25%
25%
71 69 2 0
08 Jun. 2013
CPV
Cape Verde
3 - 0
Equatorial Guinea
EQG
64%
21%
15%
70 57 13 +1

Matches

Zambia
Zambia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Sep. 2014
ZAM
Zambia
0 - 0
Mozambique
MOZ
64%
23%
14%
77 61 16 0
07 Jun. 2014
JPN
Japan
4 - 3
Zambia
ZAM
76%
17%
8%
77 89 12 0
05 Mar. 2014
ZAM
Zambia
2 - 1
Uganda
UGA
54%
25%
21%
77 70 7 0
14 Nov. 2013
EGY
Egypt
2 - 0
Zambia
ZAM
78%
15%
8%
78 87 9 -1
15 Oct. 2013
BRA
Brazil
2 - 0
Zambia
ZAM
92%
7%
1%
78 97 19 0