Cape Verde vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Verde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
CPV
1 - 0
BFA
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
CPV
2 - 1
GNB
67%
19%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ZIM
0 - 0
CPV
44%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
CPV
1 - 0
MLI
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
SEN
1 - 0
CPV
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MLI
2 - 1
LBR
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
LBR
1 - 1
ZIM
24%
23%
53%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
LBR
0 - 0
ALG
21%
28%
51%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
GAM
3 - 0
LBR
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
SEN
3 - 1
LBR
88%
9%
3%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |