Cabecense vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAB
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
CAB
0 - 0
BAL
30%
27%
43%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
PAL
2 - 0
CAB
44%
28%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
CAB
0 - 0
JER
52%
25%
22%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
AYA
0 - 0
CAB
59%
23%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
LUC
2 - 1
ARC
42%
26%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
LUC
1 - 0
CRD
55%
25%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUC
63%
21%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
LUC
1 - 1
BAL
38%
28%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PAL
0 - 0
LUC
40%
28%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |