Cabecense vs AD Cartaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
8º
18º
18º
45
9º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
65% | |
|
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 35 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
28 | 28 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 1
SEV
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAC
0 - 0
CAB
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 2
XER
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
CRD
5 - 2
CAB
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAB
2 - 1
ESP
25%
23%
52%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
AD Cartaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAC
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
XER
1 - 0
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
CRD
20%
24%
57%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ESP
1 - 2
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 0
CDG
17%
23%
60%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |