Vélez Sarsfield vs Quilmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
SLO
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
VEL
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
CFC
0 - 3
VEL
22%
25%
53%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
VEL
2 - 0
NOB
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
VEL
43%
26%
32%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 1
NOB
34%
30%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 2
QUI
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 1
RIV
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
ARG
0 - 0
QUI
64%
23%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
IND
32%
29%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |