Vélez Sarsfield vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
GYT
0 - 0
VEL
29%
29%
42%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
VEL
3 - 0
RAC
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
PLA
1 - 0
VEL
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
VEL
5 - 0
HUR
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
VEL
1 - 2
IND
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1981 |
NOB
1 - 1
CEN
61%
23%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
NOB
3 - 1
GYT
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
RAC
4 - 1
NOB
50%
22%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
NOB
1 - 1
PLA
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
NOB
7 - 2
HUR
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |