Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GOD
2 - 2
VEL
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
VEL
2 - 1
ARS
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAU
1 - 0
VEL
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 2
BEL
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 1
VEL
29%
28%
43%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnasia La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GLP
4 - 1
ALD
57%
25%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
IND
1 - 1
GLP
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
GLP
2 - 3
RIV
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LAN
2 - 0
GLP
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
GLP
2 - 1
CHI
63%
23%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |