Vélez Sarsfield vs La Equidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
16.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
EST
0 - 0
VEL
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
VEL
4 - 1
RAF
54%
26%
21%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
EQU
1 - 2
VEL
37%
29%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
BEL
3 - 0
VEL
33%
29%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
VEL
3 - 0
NOB
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
La Equidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 0
EQU
55%
25%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
EQU
1 - 1
SFE
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2013 |
HUI
1 - 1
EQU
32%
30%
39%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2013 |
EQU
1 - 2
VEL
37%
29%
35%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
EQU
4 - 0
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |