Vélez Sarsfield vs CA Huracán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
GIM
1 - 0
VEL
30%
28%
42%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
VEL
2 - 3
ESP
65%
22%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
EST
0 - 1
VEL
27%
28%
45%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
VEL
3 - 2
RAC
64%
23%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
RIV
1 - 1
VEL
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CA Huracán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1995 |
HUR
2 - 1
BEL
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1995 |
SLO
5 - 0
HUR
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 1995 |
HUR
0 - 1
ARG
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
COL
3 - 0
HUR
44%
28%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
HUR
1 - 1
GLP
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |