Vélez Sarsfield vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TIG
0 - 0
VEL
38%
28%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HUR
3 - 0
VEL
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 1
ARS
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
GLP
2 - 1
VEL
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
RIV
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
ATT
0 - 0
CCS
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
ATT
1 - 0
ARS
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 0
ATT
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ATT
1 - 0
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 2
ATT
52%
26%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |