Vélez Sarsfield vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TIG
0 - 0
VEL
38%
28%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
HUR
3 - 0
VEL
40%
28%
33%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 1
ARS
59%
24%
18%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
GLP
2 - 1
VEL
34%
28%
38%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VEL
2 - 0
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
ATT
0 - 0
CCS
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
ATT
1 - 0
ARS
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 0
ATT
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ATT
1 - 0
BAR
58%
23%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ARG
2 - 2
ATT
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |