Rosario Central vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 3
CEN
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PAT
1 - 0
CEN
21%
25%
54%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
4 - 1
RIV
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CEN
2 - 2
BAN
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 0
CEN
36%
26%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
GOD
29%
28%
44%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BEL
3 - 0
SAR
53%
27%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
2 - 2
QUI
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 0
SAR
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
SAR
1 - 3
GLP
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |