Rosario Central vs Newell's Old Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
COL
1 - 1
CEN
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
CEN
1 - 0
VEL
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1974 |
CEN
2 - 0
NOB
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1974 |
SLO
0 - 1
CEN
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
VEL
2 - 3
CEN
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1975 |
CAU
4 - 2
NOB
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
NOB
3 - 2
ATL
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
FER
0 - 2
NOB
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1974 |
CEN
2 - 0
NOB
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1974 |
NOB
2 - 0
SLO
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |