Rosario Central vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
3 - 1
BEL
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
QUI
3 - 1
CEN
32%
27%
41%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 1
SAR
62%
24%
15%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
NOB
0 - 1
CEN
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
VEL
50%
26%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
IRV
0 - 2
FER
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
GAF
44%
31%
25%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
2 - 0
FER
41%
29%
31%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
FER
3 - 3
AND
35%
30%
35%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
RSA
28%
30%
42%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |