Rosario Central vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1958 |
CEN
0 - 1
HUR
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
ARG
0 - 1
CEN
56%
21%
24%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1958 |
CEN
6 - 1
TIG
64%
19%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
BOC
3 - 2
CEN
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
CEN
1 - 1
EST
58%
21%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 1958 |
RIV
1 - 0
NOB
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
HUR
1 - 1
RIV
34%
24%
42%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1958 |
RIV
2 - 4
SLO
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
ARG
2 - 4
RIV
33%
23%
44%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
RIV
0 - 0
VEL
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |