Rosario Central vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
42.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
HUR
0 - 0
CEN
55%
21%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
CEN
0 - 0
FER
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
CEN
4 - 1
RAC
42%
23%
35%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
CEN
1 - 3
VEL
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BOC
4 - 0
CEN
60%
21%
20%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
RIV
3 - 0
BOC
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
CHA
0 - 2
RIV
31%
23%
45%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
SLO
2 - 1
RIV
46%
22%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
IND
0 - 0
RIV
54%
20%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
RIV
1 - 2
NOB
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |