River Plate vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
EST
1 - 2
RIV
33%
29%
38%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
RAF
1 - 2
RIV
40%
26%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
2 - 0
LIB
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 0
BEL
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
LIB
1 - 3
RIV
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
EST
1 - 2
RIV
33%
29%
38%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
QUI
51%
27%
22%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
EST
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BAN
1 - 1
EST
46%
27%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
PEÑ
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |