River Plate vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 2
RIV
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
ARG
63%
22%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
PAC
68%
19%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
MON
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CEN
0 - 2
RIV
30%
24%
47%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 1
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
VEL
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 1
COL
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ARG
1 - 1
VEL
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 1
TAL
40%
27%
34%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |