River Plate vs Atl. Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
GLP
2 - 1
RIV
33%
25%
42%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 3
NOB
69%
20%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 0
CAU
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
IND
1 - 0
RIV
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
3 - 0
MOR
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
ATT
2 - 0
COL
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2017 |
SLO
2 - 0
ATT
56%
25%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
ATT
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
ATT
0 - 0
ARS
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ATT
0 - 0
CEN
36%
26%
39%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |