River Plate vs Arsenal de Sarandí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
COL
2 - 2
RIV
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 0
RIV
38%
24%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
RIV
3 - 1
BAN
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2006 |
RIV
2 - 0
GIM
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
NOB
3 - 1
RIV
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ARS
3 - 0
TFE
72%
19%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 0
ARS
41%
29%
30%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
GLP
0 - 0
ARS
54%
25%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 0
RAC
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
ARS
1 - 1
ARG
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |