CA Lugano vs Real Pilar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
DPA
2 - 0
LUG
53%
24%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 2
CES
36%
26%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CLA
2 - 1
LUG
60%
23%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
LUG
1 - 1
JUU
37%
27%
36%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
ARM
3 - 1
LUG
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Real Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
RPI
0 - 0
YUP
83%
12%
6%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 2
RPI
18%
21%
62%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
RPI
1 - 0
CBA
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CAA
0 - 1
RPI
40%
22%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2019 |
RPI
1 - 1
MUÑ
83%
12%
6%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | -1 |